US ADMINISTRATION WARNING - CHANGE POLICY OR GO HOME

The Ghani administration is under increasing pressure due to full diplomacy for peace in Afghanistan. US Secretary of State Anthony Blanken wrote in a letter to Ashraf Ghani, giving a clear deadline to change his policies, that if Ashraf Ghani does not change his attitude, the Kabul administration will not have US support after May 1 and will fight the Afghan Taliban alone. He also hinted that more options were being considered, including proposing to hold talks with Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan and India in Ankara.

US President's Special A representative for Afghanistan Zalmai Khalilzad has also suggested the formation of an interim government. Echoes of the interim government have been circulating in Kabul for the past several weeks, with many members of parliament supporting the interim government. Yes, but Ashraf Ghani has vehemently rejected the demand for an interim government. There is an echo of the formation of an interim government for peace in Afghanistan, which includes Afghan factions other than the Afghan Taliban.

After the US election, President Biden faces a number of global challenges, including Afghanistan as a headache. Before the Trump administration, Obama had agreed on a formula, but no formal agreement has been reached with the Afghan Taliban. The United States is now committed to withdrawing its troops from Afghanistan by May 1, following an agreement reached in Doha and ratified by the United Nations. Inter-Afghan talks between the Kabul administration and Afghan Taliban set agenda, However, the United States knows that despite 19 years of fruitless war, it has not been able to take full control of Afghanistan, so how can it occupy the territory of Afghanistan with the help of only 2500 troops.

7,500 NATO troops also came to Afghanistan was due to US intervention. After the US leaves, the legitimacy of NATO's presence is lost. Because the conflict in Afghanistan has now become a regional one, for which the Afghan stakeholders have to find a solution on their own, it is not possible to decide the system of governance of Afghanistan according to the wishes of any country, therefore the US Secretary of State. However, Pentagon spokesman John Kirby said no decision had been made at any level on the repatriation of troops.

According to him, everyone here expects an increase in the deadline. We have been saying for a long time that the solution to the Afghan problem is political, not military. NATO, apart from New Zealand, has not given a time frame, but it seems that President Biden wants US forces to further fuel the war in Afghanistan. The US Secretary of State, in his proposals, has sought to find a solution through the four countries that have their own influence in Afghanistan but hosted by Turkey. The Afghan war had not been resolved before.

According to a letter from the US Secretary of State to President Ashraf Ghani, Blinken said, "The United States can ask the United Nations to convene a conference of foreign ministers and diplomats from  India, Iran, Pakistan, China and Russia. Discuss the adoption of a common strategy for the peace process. ” According to the US Secretary of State's letter, these are the countries that need to work together to resolve the Afghan conflict.

"He will also ask Turkey to host a conference of Taliban and Afghan stakeholders in the next few weeks to finalize the peace agreement," Blanken added. I will also ask President Ghani to send a delegation here. Commenting on the US proposal to convene a meeting of foreign ministers on the Afghan issue, UN spokesman Stephen Dujarric said that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Will support any effort for a peaceful solution.

Turkey has hosted several rounds of disputes before. The tripartite meeting was held in Ankara in April 2007, the second in Istanbul in 2008, and the third in Ankara in 2009. Apart from Pakistan, six other countries were also present. The Istanbul Summit was attended by British Foreign Secretary David Miliband, Secretary-General of the Organization of the Islamic Conference, Saudi Arabia, and UAE Ministers of State for Foreign Affairs as observers. Couldn't work out a logical strategy,

However, a major breakthrough came in 2018 when Turkey also offered to open an office for the Afghan Taliban to open its political office. The reconciliation process between Afghan factions and the Kabul government was held by the Turkish government at that time. It should be noted that all talks between the Kabul faction and various factions of the Afghan Taliban in Istanbul failed.

There has been no formal response from any government to the US Secretary of State's proposal for India to hold talks with Afghan stakeholders, including Iran, Russia, China, and Pakistan, but as in the past, If done, it is more likely to fail, as it does not have effective influence over Turkey, the Kabul administration, and the Afghan Taliban. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have had a significant influence on the Afghan Taliban. Due to this, the Arab countries almost gave up their support for the Afghan Taliban.

Relations between Iran and the United States are improving due to tensions, so Iran is gradually distancing itself from the Afghan Taliban, while Pakistan, with its limited influence, managed to reach the Doha Accord. With regard to the administration, Pakistan has assured that the future of Afghanistan will be decided by the Afghan stakeholders themselves, so the possibility of any possible talks in Turkey could be further complicated rather than resolved due to India's hostility towards Pakistan. ۔

The Afghan Taliban are increasing pressure on the US government to implement the Doha Accords, as it has stopped attacks on US forces and instructed foreign jihadists not to join its movement. After the Bajwa Doctrine, Pakistan decided to remain neutral for peace in the region by making significant changes in domestic and foreign policies, and changed the policies adopted in the past and focused its full attention on border security and terrorism. Focused on ensuring non-discriminatory action against.

After which extremist organizations fled from Pakistani soil and became a stronghold in Afghanistan, the country also has concerns that a permanent and lasting solution to Afghanistan will not come out and if the United States, like the Soviet Union, goes to Afghanistan without resolving the conflict. Extremists can once again turn to Pakistan in search of ambush sites, which requires the support and cooperation of the United States, Iran, and Afghanistan on the border management system.

It is to be noted that the United States seem to be serious in implementing the agreement. In this regard, talks were resumed in Doha. In that great diplomatic activity, several officials visited Pakistan and met with Chief of Staff General Qamar Javed Bajwa. However, the United States attaches great importance to Pakistan's role in bringing the Afghan Taliban back to the negotiating table and putting pressure on the Taliban to reduce violence in Afghanistan.

The Pakistani military leadership has made it clear that efforts to end the stalemate in the peace process in Afghanistan is moving forward in a positive way. US Central Command Chief General Kenneth F. Mackenzie, Russia's Ambassador to Afghanistan Zamir Kabulov and Qatar's Foreign Ministry Special Envoy Dr. Mutlaq bin Majid Al Qahtani has visited Islamabad, while Afghan President Ashraf Ghani's Special Envoy Omar Daudzai, Earlier, Ahmad Wali Masood, brother of Afghan military commander Ahmad Shah Masood had also visited Islamabad, saying that all Afghan nationalities would not be represented in the peace process.

No progress is expected. He says the consensus of all Afghans is needed when it comes to peace in Afghanistan. There was no such consensus. According to him, a comprehensive process must be formulated for lasting peace in Afghanistan. Ahmad Wali Massoud said that a mechanism must be worked out in Afghanistan through which peace in Afghanistan The goal of achieving.

The US administration must ensure compliance with the Doha Accords before withdrawing its troops and play a positive role in addressing the threat of civil war. Ashraf Ghani: Take seriously the demands of all Afghan stakeholders that if a reduction in the ongoing violence and ceasefire is possible, then sacrificing human lives and repatriation of millions of refugees instead of power is not a costly deal. Will be.